UEFA EC U17 Grupo D round 3

Italia U17 vs España U17 analysis

Italia U17 España U17
63 ELO 68
-9.6% Tilt -8.9%
1852º General ELO ranking 2461º
65º Country ELO ranking 80º
ELO win probability
28.9%
Italia U17
26%
Draw
45.1%
España U17

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.9%
Win probability
Italy U17
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
45%
Win probability
Spain U17
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Italia U17
+28%
-18%
España U17

ELO progression

Italy U17
Spain U17
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Italy U17
Italy U17
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 May. 2019
ITA
Italy U17
2 - 1
Austria U17
AUT
64%
22%
15%
61 51 10 0
04 May. 2019
GER
Germany U17
1 - 3
Italy U17
ITA
59%
21%
20%
60 64 4 +1
26 Mar. 2019
AUT
Austria U17
1 - 4
Italy U17
ITA
30%
26%
45%
59 53 6 +1
23 Mar. 2019
ITA
Italy U17
3 - 0
Romania U17
ROU
66%
20%
14%
59 44 15 0
20 Mar. 2019
ITA
Italy U17
2 - 0
Turkey U17
TUR
58%
23%
19%
59 51 8 0

Matches

Spain U17
Spain U17
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 May. 2019
ESP
Spain U17
1 - 0
Germany U17
GER
52%
24%
24%
69 62 7 0
04 May. 2019
ESP
Spain U17
3 - 0
Austria U17
AUT
71%
19%
11%
68 52 16 +1
31 Mar. 2019
UKR
Ukraine U17
0 - 1
Spain U17
ESP
10%
18%
72%
68 48 20 0
28 Mar. 2019
ESP
Spain U17
1 - 0
Kosovo U17
KOS
82%
13%
5%
68 39 29 0
25 Mar. 2019
ESP
Spain U17
2 - 0
Greece U17
GRC
80%
15%
6%
68 46 22 0