Águilas Doradas vs Independiente Medellín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
25.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Águilas Doradas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2013 |
ONC
1 - 2
AGU
60%
23%
17%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
AGU
1 - 1
ENV
57%
24%
18%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
JAG
0 - 1
AGU
32%
26%
42%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
IND
1 - 0
AGU
40%
28%
32%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2013 |
RIO
0 - 1
AGU
32%
26%
42%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2013 |
IND
2 - 1
PAT
64%
23%
13%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2013 |
IND
2 - 0
NAC
35%
27%
38%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
QUI
0 - 2
IND
35%
28%
37%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
IND
1 - 0
AGU
40%
28%
32%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
ENV
1 - 1
IND
35%
26%
38%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |