Águilas Doradas vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.6%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
49.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Águilas Doradas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2020 |
MIL
0 - 0
AGU
61%
23%
17%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2020 |
AGU
3 - 0
PAT
45%
28%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2020 |
AME
3 - 1
AGU
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
AGU
1 - 1
PAS
36%
29%
36%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2020 |
JUN
2 - 1
AGU
54%
26%
20%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
NAC
2 - 2
JUN
54%
25%
22%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
BUC
1 - 2
NAC
26%
27%
47%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
NAC
3 - 2
ENV
63%
22%
15%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
NAC
1 - 2
TOL
45%
26%
29%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
ONC
2 - 0
NAC
34%
28%
39%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |