Itabuna vs Fluminense de Feira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
16.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1979 |
ITA
0 - 0
GUA
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
OPE
1 - 4
ITA
61%
23%
16%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +2 |
| 17 Oct. 1979 |
ITA
1 - 0
ATL
41%
27%
33%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
ITA
1 - 1
COM
39%
27%
34%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1979 |
ITU
1 - 1
ITA
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense de Feira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1979 |
MIX
1 - 1
FLU
72%
18%
10%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1979 |
FLU
1 - 0
ITU
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
FLU
1 - 0
ATL
31%
28%
42%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1979 |
OPE
1 - 0
FLU
67%
21%
13%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1979 |
COM
2 - 0
FLU
69%
20%
11%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |