Itabaiana vs Socorrense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
32.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+63%
-90%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
SER
1 - 1
ITA
71%
18%
11%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ITA
2 - 1
BOC
55%
23%
22%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
COR
1 - 3
ITA
24%
24%
51%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
ITA
2 - 2
LAG
48%
25%
27%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2015 |
SOC
0 - 0
ITA
49%
24%
27%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Socorrense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
SOC
0 - 3
SPO
7%
18%
75%
|
42 | 75 | 33 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
SOC
1 - 0
BOQ
72%
18%
11%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
BOQ
0 - 1
SOC
22%
24%
54%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CON
1 - 1
SOC
61%
23%
16%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2015 |
SPO
3 - 1
SOC
82%
14%
4%
|
41 | 75 | 34 | 0 |