Itabaiana vs Sete de Junho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
24.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+69%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2011 |
ITA
6 - 1
AME
60%
23%
17%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2011 |
SDF
0 - 0
ITA
59%
23%
18%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2011 |
ITA
0 - 0
CON
32%
25%
43%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 0
ITA
58%
24%
19%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2011 |
AME
0 - 0
ITA
54%
25%
21%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sete de Junho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2010 |
AME
4 - 2
SDJ
49%
24%
27%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
SDJ
2 - 3
SDF
42%
24%
34%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
OSE
2 - 0
SDJ
49%
25%
26%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
SDJ
2 - 2
CON
30%
25%
45%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 2
SDJ
53%
23%
24%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |