Itabaiana vs Serra Talhada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
22.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
POT
1 - 0
ITA
53%
25%
22%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
ITA
1 - 1
SER
36%
28%
36%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2016 |
SER
1 - 0
ITA
58%
23%
19%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ITA
0 - 0
DOR
55%
24%
21%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
BOC
1 - 2
ITA
27%
28%
45%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Serra Talhada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
SER
0 - 1
UNI
41%
28%
31%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
SER
3 - 1
PES
47%
27%
26%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
ACA
0 - 0
SER
32%
27%
42%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
PER
2 - 0
SER
38%
27%
36%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
SER
1 - 2
BEL
51%
26%
23%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -1 |