Itabaiana vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.2%
30.4%
Draw
0-0
13.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.4%
42.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.4%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1974 |
ITA
0 - 1
GRE
16%
28%
56%
|
54 | 85 | 31 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1974 |
COT
3 - 0
ITA
78%
16%
6%
|
54 | 84 | 30 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1974 |
ITA
0 - 3
VAS
28%
33%
39%
|
55 | 83 | 28 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1974 |
ITA
1 - 0
ATP
24%
29%
47%
|
54 | 79 | 25 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1974 |
ITA
2 - 1
BOT
23%
31%
46%
|
52 | 84 | 32 | +2 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1974 |
ARN
0 - 1
BAH
43%
28%
28%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1974 |
BAH
1 - 0
AME
49%
28%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1974 |
ATP
1 - 0
BAH
52%
26%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1974 |
BAH
0 - 0
SCI
34%
26%
40%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1974 |
BAH
1 - 1
COT
39%
26%
35%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |