Itabaiana vs AD Carmópolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.2%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
9.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2024 |
COR
0 - 2
ITA
12%
22%
66%
|
58 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2024 |
ITA
0 - 0
COR
76%
16%
8%
|
58 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ITA
0 - 1
RFC
35%
28%
38%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
RFC
0 - 1
ITA
57%
26%
17%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
TRE
0 - 0
ITA
43%
28%
29%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
AD Carmópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
ADC
0 - 1
OSE
39%
24%
37%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
OSE
1 - 4
ADC
51%
22%
26%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +2 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
FFC
0 - 0
ADC
69%
18%
13%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ADC
2 - 3
DOR
27%
23%
50%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
LAG
2 - 0
ADC
71%
18%
11%
|
23 | 50 | 27 | 0 |