NK Istra 1961 vs HNK Sibenik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
24.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
4º
10º
5º
27
3º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Istra 1961
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
NKG
1 - 2
IST
10%
16%
74%
|
65 | 42 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
OSI
2 - 0
IST
67%
22%
12%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
NKV
1 - 1
IST
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
HKS
2 - 2
IST
75%
17%
8%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SLA
0 - 3
IST
49%
26%
24%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Sibenik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
JAP
1 - 2
HNS
14%
20%
66%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
HNS
0 - 2
SLA
41%
27%
32%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
LOK
1 - 1
HNS
66%
21%
13%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
HNS
1 - 1
HNG
23%
26%
51%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
RIJ
0 - 0
HNS
74%
18%
9%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |