Istiklol Dushanbe vs Al-Nassr analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
3.8%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.6%
1-0
1.6%
2-1
1.2%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.1%
10%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10%
86.1%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.1%
0-3
13.7%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19.4%
0-4
10%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
13.2%
0-5
5.8%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
7.4%
0-6
2.8%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.5%
0-7
1.2%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.4%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Istiklol Dushanbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
FKK
1 - 4
IST
41%
23%
36%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2023 |
ADS
2 - 0
IST
90%
7%
2%
|
29 | 66 | 37 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2023 |
IST
1 - 1
PER
6%
14%
80%
|
29 | 73 | 44 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
PER
2 - 0
IST
85%
13%
3%
|
29 | 74 | 45 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
ALN
3 - 1
IST
91%
8%
2%
|
29 | 77 | 48 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Nassr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
ALH
3 - 0
ALN
45%
25%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2023 |
ALN
0 - 0
PER
61%
21%
18%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
ALN
3 - 0
ALA
65%
20%
15%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
ALW
1 - 3
ALN
44%
25%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2023 |
ADS
2 - 3
ALN
30%
22%
48%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |