Istiklol Fergana vs Neftchi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
20.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Istiklol Fergana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2020 |
FKT
2 - 1
IFE
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2020 |
IFE
3 - 0
FKZ
70%
18%
12%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2020 |
DSA
1 - 2
IFE
34%
27%
39%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2020 |
SHO
2 - 0
IFE
33%
27%
40%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2020 |
IFE
0 - 3
DSA
59%
20%
21%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Neftchi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2020 |
SHO
2 - 1
NEF
47%
26%
27%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2020 |
OQT
1 - 1
NEF
61%
21%
17%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2020 |
NEF
3 - 0
XOR
45%
25%
30%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2020 |
NEF
1 - 0
DSA
47%
27%
26%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2020 |
SHO
2 - 1
NEF
41%
25%
34%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |