U21 EC Qualifying Grupo E round 1

Israel U21 vs Bulgaria U21 analysis

Israel U21 Bulgaria U21
61 ELO 66
0.5% Tilt -0.3%
2805º General ELO ranking 3695º
33º Country ELO ranking 35º
ELO win probability
39.9%
Israel U21
26.2%
Draw
33.9%
Bulgaria U21

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
Israel U21
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
33.9%
Win probability
Bulgaria U21
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Israel U21
-29%
-19%
Bulgaria U21

ELO progression

Israel U21
Bulgaria U21
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Israel U21
Israel U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Nov. 1995
FRA
France U21
3 - 0
Israel U21
ISR
74%
17%
9%
60 74 14 0
10 Oct. 1995
ISR
Israel U21
4 - 0
Azerbaijan U21
AZE
68%
19%
13%
60 50 10 0
05 Sep. 1995
SVK
Slovakia U21
1 - 1
Israel U21
ISR
45%
25%
30%
60 56 4 0
06 Jun. 1995
ROU
Romania U21
1 - 0
Israel U21
ISR
53%
24%
23%
60 62 2 0
25 Apr. 1995
POL
Poland U21
1 - 0
Israel U21
ISR
50%
24%
26%
61 61 0 -1

Matches

Bulgaria U21
Bulgaria U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Nov. 1995
GER
Germany U21
7 - 0
Bulgaria U21
BGR
62%
22%
16%
68 72 4 0
10 Oct. 1995
GEO
Georgia U21
1 - 2
Bulgaria U21
BGR
30%
27%
43%
68 53 15 0
06 Jun. 1995
BGR
Bulgaria U21
2 - 0
Germany U21
GER
41%
28%
31%
67 71 4 +1
25 Apr. 1995
MDA
Moldavia U21
0 - 0
Bulgaria U21
BGR
33%
27%
40%
66 54 12 +1
28 Mar. 1995
BGR
Bulgaria U21
3 - 1
Wales U21
WAL
60%
23%
17%
66 56 10 0