Isle of Man vs Squires Gate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.6%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
67.5%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Isle of Man
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
IOM
0 - 3
VAU
10%
15%
76%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
IOM
1 - 3
KEN
30%
21%
49%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
IOM
3 - 4
BUR
36%
21%
43%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2022 |
AFC
0 - 1
IOM
83%
11%
5%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
IOM
0 - 2
ALI
20%
19%
61%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Squires Gate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
LBR
3 - 1
SQU
51%
21%
28%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2023 |
SQU
2 - 2
KEN
67%
17%
16%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
SQU
1 - 3
BUR
76%
14%
10%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2022 |
SQU
0 - 1
BCF
7%
16%
77%
|
27 | 56 | 29 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2022 |
CON
2 - 1
SQU
51%
21%
28%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |