Northern Ireland vs Scotland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
39.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1904 |
WAL
0 - 1
IDI
31%
25%
43%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1904 |
IDI
1 - 3
ENG
34%
26%
40%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1903 |
IDI
2 - 0
WAL
63%
21%
17%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1903 |
SCO
0 - 2
IDI
62%
21%
17%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1903 |
ENG
4 - 0
IDI
62%
21%
17%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1904 |
SCO
1 - 1
WAL
67%
19%
14%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1903 |
ENG
1 - 2
SCO
57%
22%
21%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1903 |
SCO
0 - 2
IDI
62%
21%
17%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1903 |
WAL
0 - 1
SCO
26%
24%
50%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1902 |
ENG
2 - 2
SCO
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |