FC Irtysh Omsk vs FK Novosibirsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
23.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
2º
2º
2º
34
3º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 11 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
51 | 9 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 5 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 5 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
34 | 5 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 2 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Irtysh Omsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
IRT
1 - 0
NOS
74%
18%
9%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
IRT
3 - 0
ORE
74%
18%
8%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
ZEN
1 - 1
IRT
16%
22%
62%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2023 |
PER
1 - 3
IRT
73%
19%
8%
|
45 | 68 | 23 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
IRT
4 - 0
FCN
45%
26%
29%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
FK Novosibirsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
FCC
0 - 0
FCN
62%
21%
17%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
FCN
2 - 2
ZEN
62%
21%
16%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
MIA
1 - 3
FCN
37%
25%
38%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
FCN
0 - 0
TYU
19%
23%
58%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
IRT
4 - 0
FCN
45%
26%
29%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |