Irtysh Pavlodar vs Tobol Kostanay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
27%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Irtysh Pavlodar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2013 |
IRT
2 - 0
KAI
68%
18%
13%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
AST
2 - 0
IRT
51%
23%
26%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2012 |
FCA
3 - 1
IRT
59%
21%
20%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
IRT
5 - 0
FCA
42%
23%
35%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
TOB
1 - 0
IRT
54%
22%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Tobol Kostanay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2013 |
TOB
2 - 3
KAI
68%
20%
12%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2013 |
AKZ
1 - 1
TOB
34%
27%
40%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
TAR
1 - 2
TOB
37%
27%
35%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2013 |
TOB
2 - 1
ATY
73%
17%
10%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
ZHE
1 - 4
TOB
38%
28%
35%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |