Ireland U21 vs Turquía Sub 21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
51.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ireland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2009 |
IRL
2 - 1
ESP
14%
22%
64%
|
56 | 82 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2009 |
IRL
1 - 1
DEU
14%
20%
66%
|
55 | 78 | 23 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2008 |
LTU
0 - 3
IRL
31%
25%
44%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2008 |
PRT
2 - 2
IRL
73%
17%
10%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2008 |
BGR
2 - 0
IRL
54%
24%
23%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Turquía Sub 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2009 |
TUR
2 - 0
DNK
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2009 |
TUR
2 - 2
UKR
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2008 |
BLR
2 - 0
TUR
35%
26%
39%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2008 |
TUR
1 - 0
BLR
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2008 |
TUR
4 - 0
ARM
69%
19%
12%
|
72 | 48 | 24 | 0 |