Irlanda U21 vs Montenegro U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
24.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Irlanda U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2008 |
ENG
3 - 0
IRL
77%
16%
8%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2007 |
IRL
1 - 0
BGR
32%
25%
44%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2007 |
MNE
1 - 0
IRL
40%
25%
36%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2007 |
IRL
0 - 3
ENG
21%
25%
54%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2007 |
SWE
2 - 3
IRL
68%
19%
14%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Montenegro U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2007 |
MNE
1 - 0
IRL
40%
25%
36%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2007 |
MNE
1 - 2
POR
18%
21%
61%
|
52 | 75 | 23 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2007 |
ENG
1 - 0
MNE
81%
13%
6%
|
52 | 78 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2007 |
POR
4 - 0
MNE
75%
16%
9%
|
52 | 76 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2007 |
MNE
0 - 3
ENG
19%
24%
57%
|
53 | 77 | 24 | -1 |