Irapuato vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
42.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Irapuato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
MER
1 - 1
IRA
28%
28%
44%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2012 |
PUE
0 - 2
IRA
63%
21%
16%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
IRA
2 - 2
PUM
62%
22%
15%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
IRA
3 - 2
PUE
31%
25%
44%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +2 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
EST
0 - 0
IRA
62%
22%
16%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
TOL
2 - 1
LEO
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
LOB
2 - 2
TOL
27%
26%
48%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
PUE
1 - 3
TOL
41%
27%
32%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
TOL
1 - 3
LOB
77%
15%
8%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
TOL
2 - 1
CHI
56%
25%
20%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |