Premier de Ascenso - Clausura Semi-finals
Global 2-2
Irapuato vs Cimarrones de Sonora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
22.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Irapuato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2025 |
CIM
1 - 1
IRA
30%
25%
45%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
IRA
1 - 1
DUR
57%
24%
19%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
DUR
2 - 2
IRA
32%
25%
43%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
PDS
0 - 3
IRA
16%
24%
60%
|
80 | 52 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
IPC
0 - 3
IRA
20%
24%
56%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Cimarrones de Sonora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2025 |
CIM
1 - 1
IRA
30%
25%
45%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
CIM
5 - 1
RVC
60%
25%
15%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
RVC
3 - 0
CIM
23%
28%
49%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
CIM
4 - 0
MFC
69%
21%
11%
|
75 | 37 | 38 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
ADP
2 - 0
CIM
35%
28%
38%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |