Asian Games Group B Round 3

Iran U23 vs Mongolia U23 analysis

Iran U23 Mongolia U23
57 ELO 26
0.4% Tilt -2.7%
3559º General ELO ranking 9749º
29º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
86.7%
Iran U23
10.2%
Draw
3.1%
Mongolia U23

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.7%
Win probability
Iran U23
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.8%
4-0
10.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
+4
12.8%
3-0
15.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.6%
2-0
16.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.5%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.2%
3.1%
Win probability
Mongolia U23
0.37
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Iran U23
-12%
-6%
Mongolia U23

ELO progression

Iran U23
Mongolia U23
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Iran U23
Iran U23
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Sep. 2023
IRN
Iran U23
4 - 0
Vietnam U23
VIE
57%
22%
21%
56 51 5 0
19 Sep. 2023
KSA
Saudi Arabia U23
0 - 0
Iran U23
IRN
48%
25%
28%
56 59 3 0
01 Jun. 2022
IRN
Iran U23
1 - 1
Qatar U23
QAT
66%
18%
16%
56 47 9 0
27 May. 2022
IRQ
Iraq U23
3 - 1
Iran U23
IRN
52%
23%
26%
57 63 6 -1
24 May. 2022
IRQ
Iraq U23
0 - 1
Iran U23
IRN
55%
22%
23%
56 63 7 +1

Matches

Mongolia U23
Mongolia U23
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Sep. 2023
MON
Mongolia U23
0 - 3
Saudi Arabia U23
KSA
6%
17%
78%
26 58 32 0
19 Sep. 2023
VIE
Vietnam U23
4 - 2
Mongolia U23
MON
81%
14%
5%
27 51 24 -1