Iran U23 vs Hong Kong U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.4%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
12.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iran U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
IRN
0 - 1
HKG
73%
17%
10%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
IRN
2 - 0
THA
68%
19%
13%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
IRN
3 - 0
MON
87%
10%
3%
|
57 | 26 | 31 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
IRN
4 - 0
VIE
57%
22%
21%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
KSA
0 - 0
IRN
48%
25%
28%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Hong Kong U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
HKG
0 - 5
UAE
28%
23%
49%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2025 |
THA
2 - 3
HKG
42%
24%
34%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
UZB
4 - 0
HKG
74%
17%
10%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
HKG
0 - 4
JPN
9%
19%
72%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
IRN
0 - 1
HKG
73%
17%
10%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | +2 |