Ipswich Wanderers vs Bowers and Pitsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
41.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
12º
20º
18º
73
2º
16º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 82 |
1º
|
92.5% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 78 |
2º
|
46.5% | |
|
3º
|
74 | 78 |
3º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
73 | 77 |
4º
|
28.5% | |
|
5º
|
72 | 76 |
5º
|
54.5% | |
|
6º
|
62 | 65 |
6º
|
53.5% | |
|
7º
|
60 | 63 |
7º
|
42.5% | |
|
8º
|
57 | 60 |
8º
|
49.5% | |
|
9º
|
52 | 55 |
9º
|
28.5% | |
|
10º
|
50 | 53 |
10º
|
33.5% | |
|
20º
|
0 | 53 |
11º
|
3% | |
|
11º
|
49 | 52 |
12º
|
28.5% | |
|
12º
|
48 | 51 |
13º
|
34% | |
|
13º
|
47 | 50 |
14º
|
37% | |
|
14º
|
45 | 48 |
15º
|
52.5% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 38 |
16º
|
69% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 36 |
17º
|
66.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
29 | 30 |
18º
|
89% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 22 |
19º
|
97.5% | |
|
19º
|
6 | 6 |
20º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 98.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 1% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ipswich Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
BRE
1 - 0
IPS
50%
21%
29%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
WAL
6 - 2
IPS
33%
21%
46%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -2 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
IPS
1 - 2
HEY
33%
23%
44%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
WRO
4 - 0
IPS
34%
22%
44%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -2 |
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
DER
2 - 1
IPS
18%
18%
64%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Bowers and Pitsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
BOW
0 - 0
BED
49%
23%
28%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
FEL
3 - 2
BOW
59%
22%
20%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
BOW
3 - 1
GOR
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
BOW
3 - 0
RED
22%
21%
58%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +3 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
NSA
1 - 1
BOW
66%
18%
17%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +1 |