Championship Round 11

Ipswich Town vs Preston North End analysis

Ipswich Town Preston North End
83 ELO 77
10.9% Tilt -1.7%
309º General ELO ranking 978º
21º Country ELO ranking 35º
ELO win probability
62.1%
Ipswich Town
21.3%
Draw
16.6%
Preston North End

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
Ipswich Town
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
16.5%
Win probability
Preston North End
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ipswich Town
-6%
-10%
Preston North End

Points and table prediction

Ipswich Town
Their league position
Preston North End
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
96
63
15º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Leicester
97
97
100%
Ipswich Town
96
96
100%
Leeds United
90
90
100%
Southampton
87
87
100%
West Bromwich Albion
75
75
100%
Norwich City
73
73
100%
Hull City
70
70
100%
Middlesbrough
69
69
100%
Coventry City
64
64
100%
Preston North End
10º
63
63
10º
100%
Bristol City
11º
62
62
11º
100%
Cardiff City
12º
62
62
12º
100%
Millwall
13º
59
59
13º
100%
Swansea City
14º
57
57
14º
100%
Watford
15º
56
56
15º
0%
Sunderland
16º
56
56
16º
0%
Stoke City
17º
56
56
17º
100%
Queens Park Rangers
18º
56
56
18º
100%
Blackburn Rovers
19º
53
53
19º
100%
Sheffield Wednesday
20º
53
53
20º
100%
Plymouth Argyle
21º
51
51
21º
100%
Birmingham City
22º
50
50
22º
100%
Huddersfield Town
23º
45
45
23º
100%
Rotherham United
24º
27
27
24º
100%
Expected probabilities
Ipswich Town
Preston North End
Promotion
100% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Ipswich Town
Preston North End
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ipswich Town
Ipswich Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Oct. 2023
IPS
Ipswich Town
3 - 0
Hull City
HUL
62%
21%
17%
82 77 5 0
30 Sep. 2023
HUR
Huddersfield Town
1 - 1
Ipswich Town
IPS
30%
26%
44%
82 75 7 0
26 Sep. 2023
IPS
Ipswich Town
3 - 2
Wolves
WOL
29%
26%
46%
81 88 7 +1
23 Sep. 2023
IPS
Ipswich Town
4 - 3
Blackburn Rovers
BBU
53%
24%
23%
81 79 2 0
19 Sep. 2023
SOU
Southampton
0 - 1
Ipswich Town
IPS
59%
22%
19%
81 85 4 0

Matches

Preston North End
Preston North End
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Oct. 2023
LEI
Leicester
3 - 0
Preston North End
PNE
72%
18%
10%
78 89 11 0
30 Sep. 2023
PNE
Preston North End
0 - 4
West Bromwich Albion
WBA
46%
26%
29%
78 78 0 0
23 Sep. 2023
ROT
Rotherham United
1 - 1
Preston North End
PNE
33%
27%
40%
78 70 8 0
19 Sep. 2023
PNE
Preston North End
2 - 1
Birmingham City
BIR
53%
25%
22%
78 72 6 0
16 Sep. 2023
PNE
Preston North End
2 - 1
Plymouth Argyle
PLY
41%
26%
33%
77 76 1 +1