EFL Cup . 1/64
Global 5-1
Ipswich Town vs AFC Bournemouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.5%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.6%
6.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ipswich Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 1996 |
MAC
1 - 0
IPS
69%
19%
13%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1996 |
IPS
0 - 0
MIL
69%
19%
12%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -2 |
| 01 May. 1996 |
IPS
2 - 1
HUR
58%
22%
20%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
OPA
0 - 1
IPS
38%
26%
36%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1996 |
SOU
2 - 1
IPS
37%
26%
37%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Bournemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 1996 |
BOU
1 - 2
WAT
36%
28%
36%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1996 |
BRE
2 - 0
BOU
56%
25%
20%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -2 |
| 13 Apr. 1996 |
SWI
2 - 2
BOU
75%
17%
8%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1996 |
BOU
3 - 1
SWA
57%
24%
19%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1996 |
CUM
4 - 0
BOU
54%
25%
21%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |