Ipswich Knights vs Univ. Queensland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.6%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
10.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ipswich Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2016 |
MIT
3 - 1
IPS
75%
15%
10%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
EAS
2 - 0
IPS
70%
17%
13%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
IPS
2 - 2
LOG
36%
23%
42%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
ALB
4 - 1
IPS
70%
16%
14%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
PEN
4 - 3
IPS
80%
12%
7%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Queensland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2016 |
LOG
6 - 0
UNI
83%
11%
6%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 1
ALB
15%
18%
67%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
PEN
3 - 0
UNI
88%
9%
3%
|
15 | 37 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
CAP
5 - 2
UNI
89%
8%
3%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
HPH
1 - 0
UNI
86%
10%
5%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | 0 |