Ipswich Knights vs Peninsula Power analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.8%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
69.4%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.8%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ipswich Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
QUE
6 - 0
IPS
79%
14%
8%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
IPS
1 - 3
EAS
30%
23%
47%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
UNI
0 - 3
IPS
15%
20%
65%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2014 |
IPS
2 - 1
LOG
43%
23%
34%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2014 |
ROC
0 - 3
IPS
75%
15%
11%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Peninsula Power
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
PEN
3 - 2
NOR
88%
9%
4%
|
45 | 11 | 34 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
ALB
0 - 3
PEN
13%
17%
71%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
PEN
1 - 1
CAP
84%
11%
5%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2014 |
BRI
1 - 2
PEN
10%
15%
75%
|
44 | 17 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2014 |
QUE
0 - 1
PEN
43%
24%
34%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |