Iporá vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.2%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.3%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
70.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
17.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.1%
0-2
16.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
22%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iporá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
GOI
1 - 0
IPO
83%
13%
4%
|
45 | 84 | 39 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
ANA
4 - 0
IPO
62%
23%
15%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2024 |
IPO
1 - 3
CRA
28%
28%
44%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
IPO
1 - 3
GIO
43%
25%
31%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2024 |
ATL
3 - 0
IPO
85%
11%
4%
|
48 | 87 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 1
GOI
79%
16%
6%
|
79 | 46 | 33 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
3 - 0
MOR
80%
15%
4%
|
79 | 42 | 37 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
GOI
0 - 0
VIL
11%
22%
67%
|
79 | 48 | 31 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 0
JAT
73%
17%
10%
|
79 | 41 | 38 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
GOI
0 - 0
VIL
58%
24%
18%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |