Ipatinga FC vs URT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
28%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ipatinga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
MAM
0 - 0
IFC
18%
21%
61%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
URT
1 - 0
IFC
30%
24%
47%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2025 |
IFC
1 - 0
MAM
66%
20%
14%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
IFC
1 - 0
DEM
59%
22%
19%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2025 |
GUA
1 - 0
IFC
20%
22%
59%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
URT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
URT
1 - 0
MAM
66%
21%
14%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
URT
1 - 0
IFC
30%
24%
47%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
MAM
0 - 1
URT
27%
26%
47%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
URT
1 - 2
VEC
60%
21%
19%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
CAL
0 - 1
URT
27%
27%
46%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |