Inverurie Loco Works vs Forres Mechanics analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.5%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
10%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
14%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
8.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
4º
9º
7º
36
1º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 90 |
1º
|
78.5% | |
|
2º
|
86 | 86 |
2º
|
78.5% | |
|
3º
|
77 | 80 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
71 | 74 |
4º
|
94.5% | |
|
5º
|
68 | 71 |
5º
|
94.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 63 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 46 |
8º
|
54.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
59.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
67.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
48.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 34 |
13º
|
67.5% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 27 |
14º
|
25% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
58.5% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 26 |
16º
|
42% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
80.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 10 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inverurie Loco Works
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
ROT
0 - 5
INV
58%
22%
21%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
INV
1 - 1
BAN
49%
22%
29%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
CLA
1 - 3
INV
12%
17%
71%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
PET
1 - 1
INV
54%
24%
23%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
STR
0 - 1
INV
9%
15%
76%
|
44 | 18 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Forres Mechanics
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
NAI
0 - 5
FOR
57%
20%
23%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
FOR
0 - 1
BRE
10%
18%
72%
|
32 | 52 | 20 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
STR
0 - 4
FOR
12%
16%
71%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2022 |
FOR
0 - 3
ELG
18%
21%
61%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
FRA
5 - 0
FOR
85%
10%
5%
|
32 | 60 | 28 | -1 |