Ayacucho FC vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
51.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2016 |
SAM
1 - 1
AYA
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2016 |
AYA
0 - 1
VAL
44%
25%
31%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
COM
0 - 1
AYA
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
AYA
1 - 1
ALI
35%
27%
37%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2016 |
ALI
2 - 0
AYA
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
SPC
4 - 0
UTC
63%
21%
15%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
MUN
0 - 0
SPC
28%
26%
46%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
SAM
1 - 2
SPC
22%
24%
53%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
SPC
1 - 1
VAL
63%
21%
16%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2016 |
COM
1 - 2
SPC
37%
26%
38%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |