Inter vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
27.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
INT
0 - 0
ACM
37%
25%
38%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
VER
0 - 3
INT
36%
26%
38%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
INT
1 - 1
PAR
64%
20%
16%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
SAM
1 - 0
INT
44%
25%
31%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2015 |
INT
1 - 2
WOL
38%
24%
39%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
ROM
1 - 1
ATL
72%
18%
10%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
TOR
1 - 1
ROM
37%
27%
36%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
ROM
1 - 0
NAP
43%
25%
32%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CES
0 - 1
ROM
21%
26%
53%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2015 |
ROM
0 - 3
FIO
46%
25%
29%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | -1 |