Serie A . Jor. 24

Inter vs Roma analysis

Inter Roma
91 ELO 87
3.9% Tilt 13.3%
General ELO ranking 36º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
61.4%
Inter
21.1%
Draw
17.5%
Roma

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
Inter
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
17.4%
Win probability
Roma
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Inter
+1%
+1%
Roma

ELO progression

Inter
Roma
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Inter
Inter
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Feb. 2005
PAR
Parma
2 - 2
Inter
INT
24%
25%
52%
91 83 8 0
02 Feb. 2005
INT
Inter
1 - 0
Atalanta
ATL
80%
14%
7%
91 77 14 0
30 Jan. 2005
PAL
Palermo FC
0 - 2
Inter
INT
14%
22%
63%
91 77 14 0
27 Jan. 2005
ATL
Atalanta
0 - 1
Inter
INT
17%
24%
58%
90 77 13 +1
22 Jan. 2005
INT
Inter
1 - 1
Chievo
CHI
77%
15%
8%
90 80 10 0

Matches

Roma
Roma
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Feb. 2005
ROM
Roma
1 - 1
Bologna
BOL
70%
18%
12%
88 81 7 0
02 Feb. 2005
LEC
Lecce
1 - 1
Roma
ROM
28%
26%
46%
88 78 10 0
30 Jan. 2005
ROM
Roma
3 - 2
ACR Messina
MES
78%
15%
8%
88 75 13 0
26 Jan. 2005
ROM
Roma
1 - 0
Fiorentina
FIO
73%
17%
10%
87 78 9 +1
23 Jan. 2005
FIO
Fiorentina
1 - 2
Roma
ROM
27%
26%
47%
87 78 9 0
X