Inter vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
12.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1937 |
INT
2 - 2
BAR
77%
13%
9%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1937 |
LAZ
1 - 0
INT
46%
24%
31%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1937 |
INT
1 - 1
SAM
87%
8%
5%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1937 |
TOR
1 - 2
INT
56%
21%
24%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1937 |
INT
2 - 2
FIO
72%
16%
12%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1937 |
NAP
1 - 1
TOR
49%
26%
25%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1937 |
NAP
3 - 0
BAR
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1937 |
USA
2 - 0
NAP
45%
23%
32%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1937 |
BOL
2 - 1
NAP
68%
17%
14%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1937 |
NAP
4 - 2
ASL
63%
20%
17%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |