Inter vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.2%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
9.1%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
INT
1 - 0
FIO
66%
21%
13%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2010 |
INT
2 - 1
JUV
61%
22%
17%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
INT
2 - 0
ACM
54%
23%
23%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
BAR
2 - 2
INT
16%
24%
61%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
INT
4 - 3
SIE
79%
15%
6%
|
91 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
CAG
2 - 2
FIO
34%
28%
39%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
SIE
1 - 1
CAG
31%
27%
42%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
CAG
3 - 0
LIV
53%
25%
22%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
BOL
0 - 1
CAG
39%
26%
35%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2010 |
CAG
2 - 2
ROM
21%
23%
56%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |