Inter vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
14%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1969 |
VER
2 - 3
INT
22%
25%
53%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1969 |
JUV
1 - 0
INT
39%
27%
34%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1969 |
INT
1 - 1
SAM
79%
15%
7%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1969 |
ATL
0 - 4
INT
22%
26%
52%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1969 |
VAR
0 - 1
INT
21%
26%
54%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1969 |
BOL
2 - 0
PAL
71%
19%
10%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1969 |
BOL
2 - 0
TOR
52%
27%
21%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1969 |
PIS
0 - 1
BOL
19%
27%
54%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1969 |
SAM
0 - 0
BOL
32%
28%
40%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1969 |
BOL
2 - 2
CAG
50%
27%
23%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |