Serie A round 15

Inter vs Varese analysis

Inter Varese
88 ELO 70
4% Tilt 8%
General ELO ranking 21931º
Country ELO ranking 527º
ELO win probability
81.7%
Inter
13.2%
Draw
5%
Varese

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.7%
Win probability
Inter
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.1%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.2%
5%
Win probability
Varese
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Inter
Varese
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Inter
Inter
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Jan. 1972
MAN
Mantova
1 - 6
Inter
INT
17%
25%
58%
88 68 20 0
09 Jan. 1972
INT
Inter
4 - 4
Sampdoria
SAM
78%
15%
6%
88 75 13 0
02 Jan. 1972
INT
Inter
0 - 0
Juventus
JUV
58%
24%
18%
88 88 0 0
26 Dec. 1971
FIO
Fiorentina
0 - 0
Inter
INT
35%
27%
38%
88 84 4 0
19 Dec. 1971
VIC
Vicenza
0 - 4
Inter
INT
20%
26%
54%
88 75 13 0

Matches

Varese
Varese
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Jan. 1972
VAR
Varese
0 - 0
Vicenza
VIC
43%
30%
28%
71 74 3 0
09 Jan. 1972
FIO
Fiorentina
1 - 0
Varese
VAR
70%
20%
10%
71 84 13 0
02 Jan. 1972
VAR
Varese
0 - 2
Cagliari
CAG
31%
29%
40%
71 84 13 0
26 Dec. 1971
SAM
Sampdoria
2 - 0
Varese
VAR
54%
27%
19%
72 74 2 -1
19 Dec. 1971
MAN
Mantova
2 - 2
Varese
VAR
49%
29%
22%
72 69 3 0