Inter vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.7%
38%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
INT
6 - 0
REG
72%
18%
11%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
INT
3 - 0
ANC
76%
16%
8%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2003 |
INT
1 - 1
LOK
64%
21%
15%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
CHI
0 - 2
INT
31%
25%
44%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
INT
0 - 0
ROM
48%
25%
27%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
BIR
0 - 3
ARS
14%
22%
64%
|
93 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
ARS
2 - 1
TOT
78%
14%
8%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2003 |
ARS
1 - 0
DYN
74%
16%
10%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
LEE
1 - 4
ARS
21%
25%
54%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2003 |
ARS
1 - 1
ROT
85%
11%
4%
|
93 | 61 | 32 | 0 |