International Leipzig vs 1. FC Merseburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
37.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
International Leipzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
ILE
2 - 1
FCA
35%
26%
39%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
FSM
1 - 1
ILE
40%
23%
37%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
ILE
0 - 5
UNI
34%
26%
40%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
SVG
5 - 1
ILE
51%
22%
27%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -2 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
ILE
0 - 3
ERF
20%
23%
58%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
1. FC Merseburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
FCM
1 - 0
FSM
37%
21%
42%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
VFL
2 - 0
FCM
63%
19%
18%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
OBE
4 - 2
FCM
64%
18%
18%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
FCM
3 - 0
PLA
24%
20%
56%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | +3 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
FCA
2 - 0
FCM
57%
21%
22%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |