Internacional vs Chapadão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.4%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.9%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
15.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.2%
+3
18.1%
2-0
19.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.4%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
<0%
+1
23%
13%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
13%
3.6%
Win probability
0.32
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Internacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
SAN
1 - 0
SCI
10%
20%
70%
|
83 | 45 | 38 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2005 |
SCI
0 - 0
NOV
79%
15%
6%
|
83 | 58 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2005 |
VER
1 - 0
SCI
11%
20%
68%
|
83 | 51 | 32 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
SCI
0 - 0
GLO
84%
13%
4%
|
83 | 50 | 33 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2005 |
CHA
1 - 2
SCI
10%
20%
70%
|
83 | 45 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Chapadão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
CHA
2 - 1
OPE
10%
17%
74%
|
45 | 76 | 31 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
MAR
0 - 2
CHA
37%
24%
39%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2005 |
CHA
1 - 2
SCI
10%
20%
70%
|
45 | 83 | 38 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
CHA
6 - 0
PAN
77%
14%
9%
|
45 | 15 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
GRE
2 - 1
CHA
88%
10%
2%
|
45 | 82 | 37 | 0 |