Internacional vs 9 de Octubre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.8%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
11%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.8%
7.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Internacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2022 |
CUI
1 - 1
SCI
32%
28%
40%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2022 |
SCI
2 - 0
IND
68%
19%
14%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
SCI
2 - 2
COR
50%
26%
24%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2022 |
JUV
1 - 1
SCI
25%
28%
47%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 1
SCI
22%
29%
50%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
9 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2022 |
CFC
3 - 2
OCT
26%
28%
46%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2022 |
OCT
2 - 3
GUA
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
OCT
1 - 1
MAC
52%
26%
22%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2022 |
OCT
2 - 2
RIV
57%
25%
18%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
LDU
2 - 0
OCT
64%
19%
17%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |