Inter Santa Maria vs Rio Grande analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
22.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter Santa Maria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
ECJ
1 - 1
ISM
35%
25%
40%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
ISM
2 - 1
SAO
73%
17%
10%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2012 |
ISM
3 - 3
FAR
57%
23%
21%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 1
ISM
35%
25%
40%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
ISM
2 - 0
SSR
63%
21%
16%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Rio Grande
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 1
RIO
41%
25%
34%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 2
BRA
23%
24%
53%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 3
RIO
44%
25%
32%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2012 |
RIO
3 - 2
GFC
30%
26%
44%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
ECJ
2 - 0
RIO
38%
25%
37%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |