Inter Miami vs Orlando City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
32.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter Miami
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
IMI
4 - 0
AFC
40%
24%
36%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
CAZ
1 - 2
IMI
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
STC
3 - 0
IMI
22%
27%
51%
|
76 | 39 | 37 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
DCU
2 - 2
IMI
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
IMI
2 - 2
COC
32%
25%
43%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Orlando City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 3
ORL
48%
23%
29%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
ORL
1 - 1
HOD
55%
23%
22%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
AFC
1 - 2
ORL
49%
25%
27%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
RSL
4 - 0
ORL
43%
26%
31%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
ORL
4 - 0
TOR
62%
21%
17%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |