PDL USA Southern Conference Round 1

Inter Gainesville vs Sporting JAX analysis

Inter Gainesville Sporting JAX
23 ELO 10
-1.4% Tilt 1.1%
10883º General ELO ranking 15108º
197º Country ELO ranking 241º
ELO win probability
85.7%
Inter Gainesville
9.6%
Draw
4.8%
Sporting JAX

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.6%
Win probability
Inter Gainesville
3.24
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.4%
4-0
9%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.8%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.6%
4.8%
Win probability
Sporting JAX
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

Points and table prediction

Inter Gainesville
Their league position
Sporting JAX
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
12º
29º
23º
10
26º
33º
24º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Asheville City
12
32
57.5%
Laredo Heat
18
31
40%
Tennessee
11
28
20.5%
AHFC Royals
13
26
6.5%
Sarasota Paradise
13
26
9%
Nona
12º
9
25
9.5%
Louisiana Krewe
22º
6
25
9.5%
Little Rock Rangers
10
24
7%
Corpus Christi
18º
7
24
11%
Denton Diablos
14º
9
24
10º
8%
Birmingham Legion II
10º
10
24
11º
5.5%
Dothan United
12
22
12º
5.5%
East Atlanta
31º
3
22
13º
4.5%
Brave SC
24º
5
21
14º
9.5%
Columbus United
23º
5
21
15º
7%
Pinellas County
10
20
16º
5%
Fort Lauderdale United
15
20
17º
8%
Twin City Toucans
33º
1
20
18º
5%
Hattiesburg
17º
7
20
19º
6.5%
Apotheos FC
39º
0
20
20º
6%
Miami City
29º
3
19
21º
4.5%
Brooke House
15º
8
18
22º
6.5%
Inter Gainesville
13º
9
16
23º
12%
Sporting JAX
11º
10
16
24º
9%
Houston FC
19º
7
15
25º
8%
SSA Kings
30º
3
14
26º
10%
Weston
20º
7
13
27º
9.5%
Mississippi Brilla
32º
2
12
28º
13%
Kings Hammer Sun City
16º
8
12
29º
9.5%
Houston Sur
34º
1
11
30º
8%
Lonestar SC
21º
6
11
31º
8%
Miami
38º
0
10
32º
8%
GFI
26º
4
9
33º
10%
Brevard
25º
4
8
34º
9.5%
McKinney Chupacabras
27º
4
8
35º
9%
Athens United
36º
0
8
36º
9.5%
Montgomery United
28º
4
8
37º
11%
Red River
35º
1
6
38º
16%
Hill Country Lobos
37º
0
4
39º
43%
Expected probabilities
Inter Gainesville
Sporting JAX
Next round
0% 0%
Possible next round
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Inter Gainesville
Sporting JAX
Brevard
Nona
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Inter Gainesville
Inter Gainesville
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 May. 2025
IGK
Inter Gainesville
2 - 1
Brave SC
VIL
19%
23%
58%
16 51 35 0
25 May. 2025
IGK
Inter Gainesville
4 - 1
Brevard
BSC
72%
15%
13%
16 11 5 0
13 Jul. 2024
VIL
Brave SC
3 - 1
Inter Gainesville
IGK
81%
13%
7%
16 52 36 0
04 Jul. 2024
IGK
Inter Gainesville
2 - 1
Florida Elite
FES
11%
16%
73%
10 40 30 +6
29 Jun. 2024
BHF
Brooke House
4 - 3
Inter Gainesville
IGK
68%
17%
15%
11 14 3 -1

Matches

Sporting JAX
Sporting JAX
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 May. 2025
NFC
Nona
1 - 2
Sporting JAX
JAX
86%
10%
4%
9 47 38 0
22 May. 2025
JAX
Sporting JAX
2 - 2
Brave SC
VIL
18%
23%
59%
7 51 44 +2
20 May. 2025
BSC
Brevard
3 - 0
Sporting JAX
JAX
51%
21%
29%
9 9 0 -2