Paulista A3 Round 12

Inter de Limeira vs Comercial analysis

Inter de Limeira Comercial
53 ELO 54
-14.9% Tilt -2.1%
2038º General ELO ranking 6481º
62º Country ELO ranking 250º
ELO win probability
38%
Inter de Limeira
27.1%
Draw
34.9%
Comercial

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38%
Win probability
Inter de Limeira
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
34.9%
Win probability
Comercial
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Inter de Limeira
+12%
+20%
Comercial

ELO progression

Inter de Limeira
Comercial
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Inter de Limeira
Inter de Limeira
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Mar. 2017
MAR
Marília
0 - 3
Inter de Limeira
INT
39%
25%
36%
52 48 4 0
12 Mar. 2017
MON
Monte Azul
2 - 0
Inter de Limeira
INT
35%
26%
40%
53 50 3 -1
09 Mar. 2017
INT
Inter de Limeira
0 - 1
Flamengo SP
FLA
64%
22%
14%
53 43 10 0
04 Mar. 2017
IND
Independente SP
2 - 3
Inter de Limeira
INT
28%
25%
47%
53 45 8 0
25 Feb. 2017
INT
Inter de Limeira
2 - 1
Catanduvense
CAT
57%
24%
19%
53 47 6 0

Matches

Comercial
Comercial
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Mar. 2017
COM
Comercial
1 - 0
Olímpia FC
OLI
47%
25%
28%
54 51 3 0
12 Mar. 2017
COM
Comercial
0 - 0
Desportivo Brasil
DES
66%
20%
14%
54 43 11 0
08 Mar. 2017
NAC
Nacional SP
1 - 0
Comercial
COM
46%
25%
30%
55 54 1 -1
04 Mar. 2017
CAT
Catanduvense
1 - 4
Comercial
COM
30%
26%
44%
54 46 8 +1
25 Feb. 2017
COM
Comercial
1 - 1
Noroeste
NOR
61%
22%
17%
54 46 8 0