Série D Brazil Final Stages 1/16
Global 1-2
Inter de Limeira vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.3%
29.9%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.9%
37.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter de Limeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
INT
1 - 0
PAT
52%
26%
22%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
CAS
0 - 0
INT
49%
27%
24%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
INT
1 - 0
FER
34%
29%
37%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
INT
0 - 1
CRA
50%
27%
23%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
XVD
0 - 1
INT
57%
25%
18%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
CAX
2 - 1
IND
58%
25%
17%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
CAC
4 - 0
CAX
25%
31%
45%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
CAX
3 - 1
AIM
70%
20%
10%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
BRA
2 - 1
CAX
29%
31%
39%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
CAX
2 - 0
NOV
71%
20%
9%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |