Inter Escaldes vs Penya Encarnada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
17.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
1º
4º
2º
44
2º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 60 |
3º
|
49.5% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 59 |
4º
|
49.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 13 |
8º
|
86% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
84% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
92.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter Escaldes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 6
INT
10%
19%
71%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
INT
1 - 0
ATL
56%
24%
21%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
FCS
2 - 1
INT
20%
25%
55%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
ATL
1 - 3
INT
29%
23%
48%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
FCO
2 - 2
INT
11%
19%
70%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Penya Encarnada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 1
FCO
65%
19%
16%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SCO
0 - 1
PEN
57%
23%
20%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 0
PAC
43%
24%
33%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
AME
1 - 1
PEN
27%
22%
51%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 0
ESA
63%
20%
18%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |