Insubria vs Arsaghese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
61.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Insubria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
ISP
2 - 0
INS
65%
19%
16%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
INS
1 - 1
GOR
15%
20%
66%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
INS
3 - 0
ANG
70%
18%
13%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
LEG
4 - 0
INS
82%
12%
6%
|
13 | 28 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
INS
0 - 4
VAL
11%
18%
71%
|
13 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Arsaghese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
ARS
1 - 1
MOR
31%
23%
45%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
ISP
1 - 2
ARS
34%
24%
42%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
GOR
1 - 1
ARS
56%
22%
23%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ARS
0 - 0
BRE
43%
23%
34%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
BOR
2 - 2
ARS
27%
23%
50%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |