Instituto vs Villa Dálmine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
35.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
INS
1 - 0
ALM
60%
24%
16%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2016 |
FER
2 - 1
INS
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2016 |
INS
0 - 1
ALB
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2016 |
GBR
2 - 2
INS
39%
27%
34%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
INS
5 - 2
BRO
53%
26%
21%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Villa Dálmine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2016 |
CHI
3 - 1
DAL
49%
26%
26%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
DAL
0 - 1
DHA
53%
27%
20%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CSE
1 - 1
DAL
30%
27%
43%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2016 |
DAL
0 - 0
CDN
41%
28%
31%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
SMA
1 - 2
DAL
17%
24%
59%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | +1 |